The Denver Broncos (9-7) enter as strong favorites (-11.5) against the Kansas City Chiefs (15-1), even though the Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak. The game’s total points over/under is set at 40.5.
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- Game Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
- Location: Denver, Colorado
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Broncos vs. Chiefs: Recent History
- In their last five matchups, the Kansas City Chiefs have come out on top in four games against the Denver Broncos.
- Across those meetings, Kansas City has tallied 105 total points, while Denver has managed 98.
Denver Betting Insights
- The Broncos boast an impressive 11-5 record against the spread this season.
- They’ve been listed as 11.5-point favorites just once this year and successfully covered the spread in that instance.
- Denver games have hit the over in 10 out of 16 matchups this season, translating to a 62.5% success rate.
- The Broncos have won all seven games where they were favored on the moneyline this year.
- With an implied moneyline win probability of 84.6%, the Broncos are expected to take care of business in this critical game.
Denver’s Key Players
Offense
- Bo Nix has had a solid season, throwing for 3,454 yards with 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 12 interceptions. Completing 65.1% of his passes, Nix averages 215.9 passing yards per game with 6.4 yards per attempt. On the ground, he’s added 383 rushing yards (third on the team) and four touchdowns.
- Courtland Sutton leads the Broncos’ receiving corps with 76 catches on 128 targets for 983 yards and seven touchdowns. He averages 5.1 receptions and 65.5 yards per game across 15 contests.
- Javonte Williams has rushed for 485 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 30.3 yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry (41st in the NFL). Through the air, he’s added 49 catches on 66 targets for 296 yards, though he has yet to find the end zone as a receiver.
- Marvin Mims has contributed 452 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 34 catches from 47 targets, averaging 28.3 yards and 2.1 receptions per game.
Defense
- Brandon Jones leads the Broncos in tackles this season with 114, along with 2.0 tackles for loss (TFL) and three interceptions.
- Zach Allen has made an impact with 60 tackles, 15.0 TFL, 8.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
- Nik Bonitto has been a dominant pass rusher, recording 11.5 sacks (fifth in the NFL), 14.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and one interception.
- Cody Barton ranks second on the team with 101 tackles, adding 2.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions.
Kansas City Betting Insights
- The Chiefs have a 7-9 record against the spread this season.
- Seven of Kansas City’s games this year have hit the over.
- As underdogs, the Chiefs have gone 1-1 this season.
- Based on the moneyline, Kansas City has just a 19.6% implied probability of winning this game.
Kansas City’s Key Players
Offense
- Patrick Mahomes has been a powerhouse this season, throwing for 3,928 yards (seventh in the NFL) with 26 touchdowns (also seventh) and 11 interceptions, all while completing 67.5% of his passes. On the ground, Mahomes has contributed 307 rushing yards (third on the team) and two rushing touchdowns, averaging 19.2 yards per game and 5.3 per carry.
- Kareem Hunt leads the Chiefs’ rushing attack with 728 yards and seven touchdowns. He’s averaging 56.0 yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry (41st in the league). As a receiver, Hunt has hauled in 23 catches for 176 yards, averaging 13.5 receiving yards per game.
- Xavier Worthy has been a reliable target, catching 59 passes for 638 yards and six touchdowns. Over 16 games, he’s averaging 3.7 receptions per game on 98 total targets.
- Travis Kelce continues to be a top-tier tight end with 823 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 97 receptions. Kelce has been targeted 133 times, ranking among the NFL’s best in receptions.
Defense
- Nick Bolton has been a defensive leader with 106 tackles, 11.0 tackles for loss (TFL), three sacks, and one interception across 16 games.
- Drue Tranquill has contributed 94 tackles, 4.0 TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended, solidifying his role on the defense.
- Justin Reid has been a key playmaker, recording 85 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two interceptions this season, placing him third in tackles for the Chiefs.
- George Karlaftis has been a force on the defensive line, posting 35 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and eight sacks through 16 games.